Morning Rage 9.17.2012

I expect the performance of US indices this week to have a more honest QE3 reaction after exploding upward last week. Indices futures for the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq are all down 21.00, 3.25 and 4.25 points respectively.  Metals futures are all down slightly before the market opens with Platinum and Palladium losing the most, 16.10 and 11.70 respectively. Crude futures are down 0.20%.

One of my favorite ETFs to follow in the aftermath of QE3 announcements is SPDR Gold Trust (GLD | $171.8). GLD is down $0.35 in after hours trading after taking a $0.49 gain on Friday. The Oct ATM straddle is priced around $7.00 about a 4% expected move. After the QE3 announcement, a higher probability of currency manipulations around the world will have investors continue to invest in gold.

Apple stock (AAPL | $691.28) is up 2.68 points in pre-market trading to $693.99. Apple set a presale order record with the new iPhone 5. I expect the stock will jump over $700 before the end of the month but, due to the volatility over the past week or so, it may jump back and forth over the $700 line.

Google stock (GOOG | 709.68) was up three and a half points on Friday, only slightly short of its all time high. The stock has hit a resistance point below $715.00. 

Alex Kalish has a master’s in economics from Suffolk U.

Questions, comments and suggestions welcome: alexk@keeneonthemarket.com

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