Traders Making Big Bearish Bets in Xilinx, Inc (XLNX)

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Xilinx, Inc (XLNX) is a semiconductor and technology company that develops programmable devices. The company’s stock is currently trading around $42.50 in a 52 week range of $36.24-$48.73. The stock has been relatively weak on the year with shares falling 2.17% year to date. The stock has been on a bit of a rebound however with shares rallying after making recent lows post-earnings. Despite the slight recovery in XLNX options traders are putting on some large bearish bets in the name during todays session.

Earlier this morning a trader bought 8,124 XLNX Sep 40 puts for $0.44 while the stock was trading at $42.74. The stock sold off after the order hit and over 20,000 contracts have now traded on that line. The stock moved to session lows after the order hit the tape and as the stock made lows these puts traded as high as $0.60 on the session making this a very profitable trade. Although the stock is off of session lows these puts are still trading near the trader’s entry price. The stock is below the Ichimoku Cloud on the daily bar so this could still represent a decent short opportunity.

Trade: A trader bought 8,124 XLNX Sep 40 puts for $0.44
Risk: $44 per 1 lot
Breakeven: $39.56

I bought these puts for $0.48 on average and took a profit target at $0.60. Including the other blocks that traded on this line XLNX has traded 4.5 times its average daily options volume today meaning this order is very significant.

Lowe’s Companies (LOW) Set to Report Earnings Tomorrow Before the Opening Bell

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Lowe’s Companies, Inc (LOW) is a home improvement retailer with over 1,800 locations in North America. The company’s stock is currently trading around $73.22 in a 52 week range of $49.70-$76.25. The stock is seeing a nice move higher today in sympathy with the move higher in Home Depot (HD) after earnings were reported earlier today. LOW has been relatively strong this year with shares rallying just over 6% year to date. The company is set to report their most recent quarterly earnings tomorrow morning before the bell. Based on the strong historical performance of the stock and the solid technical setup it seems like LOW is setting up well for a long ahead of earnings.

LOW stock has rallied on earnings day 7 of the past 12 quarters with an average move of 4.23%. More importantly, the stock has rallied from earnings day through the nearest options expiration with an average move of 4.64%. The stock is also looking strong on a chart. LOW is trading well above the Ichimoku Cloud and both its 9 and 26 period moving averages. With such strong historical movement and a good looking chart I want to set up a long position in LOW. Market makers are currently implying a move of around $2.70 in LOW by this Friday’s expiration so I can use this to calculate an upside target.

With LOW trading around $73.22 I will calculate an upside target of $75.92 and set up a trade.

Possible Trade: Selling the LOW Aug 75-72.5 Put Spreads for $1.40
Risk: $110 per 1 lot
Reward: $140 per 1 lot
Breakeven: $73.60

Home Depot (HD) Earnings Preview

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Home Depot (HD) is a retailer of home improvement products and services with operations in North America and U.S. territories. The company operates nearly 2,300 stores in those regions. Home Depot’s stock is currently trading around $120.40 in a 52 week range of $82.85-$120.75. The stock has been strong this year, rallying 14.67% year to date. Home Depot is set to report their most recent quarterly earnings tomorrow before the market open and all data points are signaling for a potential bullish trade signal ahead of the report.

HD has rallied 9 of the past 12 quarters on earnings day with an average move of 3.28%. The stock has also rallied from earnings day through the nearest options expiration 9 of the past 12 quarters. The stock is also looking very strong on a chart. Currently HD shares are trading well above the Ichimoku Cloud and both the 9 and 26 period moving averages. With the options market implying a move of around $4.10 by this Fridays close I can look for an options spread that gets me long HD with a maximum profit at the implied upside target of $124.50.

Possible Trade: Buying the HD Aug 123-125 Call Spreads for $0.50
Risk: $50 per 1 lot
Reward: $150 per 1 lot
Breakeven: $123.50

Traders Betting Big on Tumi Holdings (TUMI) Using Options

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Tumi Holdings, Inc. (TUMI) offers consumers a range of travel and business products and accessories. The company’s stock is currently trading around $20.70 in a 52 week range of $18.29-$25.47. The stock has been underperforming the market this year falling 12.77% year to date. The past 5 days have seen a bit of a rebound in shares however. The stock has rallied over 4.2% over the past 5 days and is seeing another pop today of 2.32%. Despite the more bearish longer term price action in TUMI, options traders are betting on a continued move higher through the end of the year.

Earlier today a trader bought 1,933 of the TUMI Nov 22.5 Calls for $0.90 when the stock was trading at $20.57. The stock rallied after the order hit the tape and this block represents orderflow 8.6 times the average daily options volume in TUMI. Nearly 2,500 contracts have traded on that line now and stock has traded as high as $20.72 on the session. These options have not managed to trade higher on the day but this is very unusual options activity in TUMI. This will now create the largest line of open interest in TUMI Nov options and this trader is likely expecting the stock to continue its recovery after rallying on earnings earlier this month. With options still trading at $0.90 this trade could represent an opportunity to get long TUMI on institutional orderflow.

Trade: A trader bought 1,933 TUMI Nov 22.5 Calls for $0.90
Risk: $90 per 1 lot
Reward: Unlimited
Breakeven: $23.40

Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) Earnings Preview

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Monster Beverage Corporation (MNST) is engaged in the creation, design, distribution and selling of monster products including energy drinks, sporting events, Monster TV and Monster Music. The stock is currently trading around $147.72 at the upper end of its 52 week range of $64.27-$155.83. The stock has been out performing the market this year rallying 16.3% year to date. MNST is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell today, and the stock is down huge, $6.28 or 4.08%, on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 11 quarters MNST has rallied on earnings day 6 times with an average move of 5.67%. The stock appears bullish on a chart going into the release having traded above the Ichimoku Cloud since July, but is dropping huge over the past week on the daily bars. Over the past 11 quarters MNST has rallied on earnings day to the nearest expiration 4 times with an average move of 4.99%. Investors have extremely high expectations that the energy-drink giant will be able to continue the impressive run of fast-paced growth. With the stock trading at a bearish trend, okay earnings history, extremely high expectations and big money getting short according to Alpha Tracker it is hard to justify anything but a short position in MNST.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $12.9 or 8.8% in MNST by the end of this week giving us targets of $134.82 and $160.62.

Trade: Buy this week’s 138-136 Vertical put spread for $0.50
Risk: $50 per lot
Reward: $150 per lot
Break Even: $137.50

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) Earnings Preview

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NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) is engaged in visual computing, enabling individuals to interact with digital ideas, data and entertainment of branded products and services offering processors to original equipment manufacturers. The stock is currently trading around $20.33 at the middle end of its 52 week range of $16.77-$23.60. The stock has been performing inline with the market this year rallying 1.7% year to date. NVDA is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell today, and the stock is down $0.25 or 1.21% on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 11 quarters NVDA has rallied on earnings day 7 times with an average move of 4.49%. The stock appears slightly bullish on a chart going into the release having traded below the Ichimoku Cloud since July, but rising up to the cloud on the daily bars. Over the past 11 quarters NVDA has rallied on earnings day to the nearest expiration 7 times with an average move of 4.92%. Investors are mainly focused upon the newly announced acquisition of TransGaming Inc.’s proprietary cross-platform portability technology to expand the gaming sector of the company. The company has also experienced increasing revenue, but not enough to keep up with the consensus mark. With the stock trading below the cloud, great earnings history and mixed news it is hard to justify anything but a long or short position in NVDA.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $1.53 or 7.5% in NVDA by the end of this week giving us targets of $18.80 and $21.86.

Trade: Sell this week’s 19-20.5-22-20.5 Iron Butterfly for $0.98
Risk: $52 per lot
Reward: $98 per lot
Break Even: $19.52 and $21.48

A Preview of Tesla Motors Inc. (TSLA) Ahead of the Release After the Bell

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Tesla Motors Inc. (TSLA) designs, develops, manufactures and sells electric vehicles, electric vehicle power train components and stationary energy storage systems. The stock is currently trading around $266.10 at the upper end of its 52 week range of $181.40-$291.42. The stock has been out performing the market this year rallying 19.63% year to date. TSLA is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell today, and the stock is down $0.18 or 0.07% on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 11 quarters TSLA has rallied on earnings day 6 times with an average move of 8.71%. The stock appears very bullish on a chart going into the release having traded above the Ichimoku Cloud since mid April on the daily bars. Over the past 11 quarters TSLA has rallied on earnings day to the nearest expiration 7 times with an average move of 10.09%. Investors are mainly focused on updates on the new Model X’s time line plays out. The investors are overly bearish predicting a 60 cent loss. With the stock trading above the cloud, great earnings history and a new car in the lineup it is hard to justify anything but a long position in TSLA.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $21.30 or 8% in TSLA by the end of this week giving us targets of $244.80 and $287.40.

Trade: Buy this week’s 282.5-285 Vertical call spread for $0.60
Risk: $60 per lot
Reward: $190 per lot
Break Even: $283.10

A Look at Keurig Green Mountain Inc. Before Earnings (GMCR)

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Keurig Green Mountain Inc. (GMCR) is a specialty coffee and coffeemaker business in the United States and Canada selling Keurig Single Cup Brewers and Arabica bean coffees, including Fair Trade Certified, certified organic and flavored. The stock is currently trading around $75.82 at the lower end of its 52 week range of $68.72-$158.87. The stock has been under performing the market this year falling 42.74% year to date. GMCR is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell today, and the stock is down $0.77 or 1.01% on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 8 quarters GMCR has rallied on earnings day 3 times with an average move of 10.0%. The stock appears very bearish on a chart going into the release having traded below the Ichimoku Cloud for the past 6 months on the daily bars. Investors are mainly hoping to see higher sales in the hyped Keurig 2.0 brewer. The pods consumers have been using for so long are not compatible with this brewer and allows only for license K-Cup pods. With the stock trading below the cloud, bad earnings history and poor sales on the newest brewer it is hard to justify anything but a short position in GMCR.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $7.17 or 9.5% in GMCR by the end of this week giving us targets of $68.65 and $82.99.

Trade: Buy this week’s 70-69 Vertical put spread for $0.24
Risk: $24 per lot
Reward: $76 per lot
Break Even: $69.76

Dreamworks Animation SKG, Inc. (DWA) to Release Earnings After the Bell

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Dreamworks Animation SKG, Inc. (DWA) is creates and exploits branded family entertainment, including animated feature films, television series and specials, live entertainment properties and related consumer products. The stock is currently trading around $23.78 at the lower end of its 52 week range of $18.16-$29.75. The stock has been out performing the market this year rallying 6.45% year to date. DWA is scheduled to report earnings after the closing bell today, and the stock is down $0.03 or 0.13% on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 12 quarters DWA has rallied on earnings day 5 times with an average move of 9.14%. The stock appears bearish on a chart going into the release having fallen through the Ichimoku Cloud and continued trading below the cloud in the past month on the daily bars. Over the past 12 quarters DWA has rallied on earnings day to the nearest expiration 5 times with an average move of 10.82%. Investors are mainly watching to see how the top line performs due to foreign currency movements and the bottom line impacted by costs associated with the expansion of the Awesomeness-TV operations. With the stock trading below the cloud, disappointing earnings history and high costs it is hard to justify anything but a short position in DWA.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $1.7 or 7.2% in DWA by the end of this week giving us targets of $22.08 and $25.48.

Trade: Buy this week’s 23-22 Vertical put spread for $0.28
Risk: $28 per lot
Reward: $72 per lot
Break Even: $22.72

A Look at Priceline Group Inc. (PCLN) Ahead of Earnings

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Priceline Group Inc. (PCLN) is a provider of online travel and travel related reservation and search services through its online travel agent services, connecting consumers wishing to make travel reservations with providers of travel services across the world. The stock is currently trading around $1,256.04 at the upper end of its 52 week range of $990.69-$1329.90. The stock has been out performing the market this year rallying 10.24% year to date. PCLN is scheduled to report earnings before the opening bell tomorrow, and the stock is up $15.56 or 1.21% on the session ahead of the close.

Over the past 11 quarters PCLN has rallied on earnings day 9 times with an average move of 5.19%. The stock appears bullish on a chart going into the release having ripped through the Ichimoku Cloud and continued trading above the cloud in the past month on the daily bars. Over the past 11 quarters PCLN has rallied on earnings day to the nearest expiration 8 times with an average move of 5.17%. Investors are mainly watching to see how the company performs due to increased travel during Summer. With the stock trading above the cloud, incredible earnings history and increased travel it is hard to justify anything but a long position in PCLN.

The options market is currently implying a move of around $81.8 or 6.5% in PCLN by the end of this week giving us targets of $1,174.24 and $1,337.84.

Trade: Buy this week’s 1,332.5-1,335 Vertical call spread for $0.50
Risk: $50 per lot
Reward: $200 per lot
Break Even: $1,333