![Buy Sell Trading Options](images/Buy_Sell_Trading_Options.png)
S&P Emini & Unusual Options Activity Daily Vid Recap 10.5.2012
![Buy Sell Trading Options](images/Buy_Sell_Trading_Options.png)
Paper bought 4834 AIG November 32 Puts for $.35 when stock was trading $35.14
Paper bought 13,941 PM Oct 87.5 Puts for $.14 (2.3 times usual volume) when stock was trading $93.62
Paper bought 10,000 BMC Jan 45-50 Call Spread for $1.65 (11.2 times usual volume) when stock was trading $43.48
The 50-day moving average is a popular way to measure short-term momentum and price trend. This line is the average closing price over 50 periods. This technical indicator can be perceived as the dividing line between a stock that is technically healthy and one that is not.
Of the stocks in the S&P 500, 371 or about 74%, opened above their 50 day moving average today. Today in the Dow Jones Industrial Average, 23 of the 30 stocks are opened today above their respective 50.
On the other hand, the 200-day moving average is an indicator of long-term trend. Here, stocks like the more economically sensitive like CAT and AA are very much so off their recent highs and under their 200 day moving average. The high today in AA just touched its 200-day and pulled back. While it may be tempting to pick bottoms in the losers, perhaps it is prudent to stay with the proven winners.
The chart below is an interesting indicator. While it may look like just scribbles or bar code on a chart, it actually represents the NYSE advancing declining bias on a daily basis. The yellow and blue lines are respectively the 50 and 200 day moving average. This chart is confirming the bullish sentiment and price action in the market. Basically it is important to watch the yellow line fluctuate relative to the blue, for it represents the average short term bias of issues (stocks).
E-mail the author with any comments, questions, or inquiry
mark@keeneonthemarket.com“>mark@keeneonthemarket.com
Data courtesy of Thinkorswim
Today’s trade is to buy the stock at $35.40 and sell the Oct 34 Calls for $1.85. This trade has a breakeven of $33.55.
Revenue has beat estimates for the last three out five quarters, however the last two out ofthree were lower than estimated. Annual revenues dropped around 18% from 2011 to 2012 but it is estimated to continue growing $100 million a year into 2015. The largest open interest position is in the Apr-13 32.5 Call, followed by the Nov 27.5 Put and the Nov 30.0 Call. The Oct ATM Strangle is implying a 9.3% move.
My trade: Buy the Jan STZ 40-45-50 Call Fly for $0.30.
My reward: $4.70
My risk: $0.30
My break even $40.30 and $49.70