Weekly Grains Update 8.20.2012

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Earlier in the month, the USDA released a report that corn yields would fall to 6 year lows of 10.78 billion bushels. Now markets are taking time to adjust to the new supply. Although the corn crop yield is considered relatively difficult to heal, there is still some hope for the soybean crop. Soybean yields in late-planted areas could improve if rain sweeps across the U.S.

I am looking to go long spreads in corn, and putting slightly more conservative plays in soybeans as the crop is more likely to heal.

This morning corn futures were trading up 1.13% to $8.0740, soybeans were up .97% to $16.8720 and Wheat was trading down .21% to $8.7260.

Corn 8.20.2012

David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

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Morning Rage 8.20.2012

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The Hang Seng went the opposite direction losing 0.1% after a Chinese newspaper reported cuts in the
reserve requirement for commercial lenders were unlikely. Smaller banks were a hard hit sector today,
China Merchants Bank Co, which posted a 25.7 rise in first half net profits, slid 1.4% today. Corporate
earnings are to be a focus the rest of the month. Chinese instant noodle company Tingyi, jumped 5% to
close at its highest since May 4, with optimism that cost control will improve margins for the rest of the
year. China Pacific Insurance group was also among the losers dropping 1.2% today, after reporting a
55% fall in net first half profits.

The FTSEurofirst managed small gains today gaining 0.1% to keep its rally alive. The Spanish debt sale
tomorrow will be a crucial test with focus on the 10-year bond yields. Eurozone banks led the market
today with Banco Popolare gaining 6.2% and Societe Generale adding 1.3%. Deutsche was among those
not following the lead, down .6%, as the New York Times reported US prosecutors are investigating
them among several other banks on dealings with Iran and other sanctioned countries. September 6 th is
the next big coming date, as it is the next policy meeting.

Commodities are set to begin mixed as crude and gold begin down and silver and natural gas are set in
the green.

Contributer Chris Rygh is currently pursuing his MBA in Wisconsin and has a passion for the Market.
Comments can be directed to ryghcw19@uww.edu

The Final Doherty at the Close 8.17.2012

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In major corporates news, J.M. Smucker, finished up 5.18% after reporting that their yearly profit will be above their initial projections following better than expected sales volume. Ann (ANN) jumped 20.57% after the retailer raised its yearly outlook and announced better than expected earnings. Finally, Foot Locker (FL) rose 1.71% following the athletic store’s upbeat earnings.
This will be the final Doherty at the Close as I finish my internship at KOTM and head back to school at Villanova this weekend. I hope you’ve enjoyed this market recap as much as I have. Thank you.

Thomas Doherty is majoring in FInance and Economics at Villanova University. Thomas@KeeneOnTheMarket.com

Platinum Update 8.17.2012

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Platinum producers have been battling falling prices and increased costs associated with mining. Before yesterday, platinum prices were trading down 21% on the year. Today platinum futures were trading at $1472.90 an ounce.

I remain bullish on platinum considering its correlation with gold. The spread between gold and platinum is currently very out of whack with gold currently overpriced with regards to the rarity of the metal.

Platinummmmm
David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

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