Stock Swing Trade of the Day: TMUS

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T-Mobile US, Inc (TMUS) is a wireless network operator in the United States. The company’s stock is currently trading around $26.10 in a 52 week range of $16.01-$29.50. The stock has been performing very well this year adding over 59% to share prices year to date.  Bullish bets in the options market this morning are signaling that traders expect this trend to continue through the end of the year. Early in today’s trading session a trader bought 10,844 TMUS Jan 28 calls for $0.71. This is a very bullish trade that exposes this trader to $769,000 worth of risk. This trade comes at a time when we see TMUS at an important level technically. The stock has sold off to the top of the Ichimoku Cloud, an area that should serve as support, and seems to be finding buyers. We believe that this trade represents a trader calling a near term bottom in TMUS and should provide us with an opportunity for a swing stock trade. With stock right above the cloud we can take this trade with a relatively tight stop just below the cloud. (more…)

Earnings Trade of the Day: LOW

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Lowe’s Companies, Inc. (LOW) is a home improvement retailer operating more than 1,700 stores across the United States and North America. The company’s stock is currently trading around $51.15 in a 52 week range of $33.73-$52.08. Shares of LOW have been massively outperforming the market this year adding nearly 46% to share prices year to date. LOW is set to report their most recent quarterly earnings tomorrow morning before the market open. Analysts are expecting LOW to report earnings of $0.48 per share on revenues of $12.7 billion. Historically LOW has been strong on earnings day. Over the past 8 quarters the stock has rallied 5 times on earnings day with an average upside move of 2.75%. In addition to this strong historical performance LOW is also trading well on a chart. The stock is trading well above the Ichimoku Cloud and the future cloud is indicating there could be more upside in store for LOW. We believe that the strong historical performance and good technical setup provide a good opportunity to get long LOW ahead of earnings. With the options market currently implying a move of around $2.10 by this Friday’s expiration we can set up a trade with an upside target of $53.25. (more…)

Stock Swing Trade of the Day: WM

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Waste Management, Inc. (WM) is a waste management service provider in North America. The company’s stock is currently trading around $45.40 in a 52 week range of $30.92-$45.48. The company’s stock has been outperforming the market adding nearly 35% to share prices year to date. Options traders are betting that this upside will continue as we have seen some very bullish flows in WM today. Earlier in today’s session a trader bought 1,000 Apr 47 calls for $0.90. This order comes on the back of a large put seller from earlier this morning when a trader sold 2,222 Dec 45 puts for $0.65. These are both bullish orders that represent volume 3.2 times the average daily option volume in WM. The WM chart looks bullish as well. Shares of WM are trading well above the Ichimoku cloud and the future cloud is sloping up and outward indicating there could be more upside in store for WM. We believe that the technical coupled with the bullish unusual option activity in WM provides us with a signal for a long stock swing trade. (more…)

Covered Call of the Day: SNTA

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Synta Pharmaceuticals Corp (SNTA) is a bio-pharmaceutical company who is focused on developing drugs to serve patients with cancer. Currently the stock is trading around $5.10 in a 52 week range of $3.70-$11.88. Shares of SNTA have been massively under-performing the market this year having fallen over 43% year to date. Despite the weakness in the stock we have seen some very bullish options activity in SNTA during today’s trading session. Earlier today a trader sold 3,000 SNTA Dec 4 puts for $0.15. This is a very bullish bet that involves this trader assuming over $850,000 in risk. The large amount of risk this trader is taking on indicates their high level of conviction that SNTA will close above $4.00 on December expiration. Although SNTA is looking weak on a chart the stock has put together a few good days having rallied over 37% off of its lows made on Wednesday of last week. We believe that recent price action and this large block trade signal as an opportunity for a covered call in SNTA. (more…)

Bearish Signals

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A trader sold 4,000 PKT Dec 15 Calls for $0.50 (8.2 times usual volume) with stock at $14.96
A trader bought 6,040 AMLP Jan 17 Puts for $0.25 (4.3 times usual volume) with stock at $17.62
A trader bought 2,000 OREX Dec 4 Puts for $0.32 (3.4 times usual volume) with stock at $5.68
A trader bought 5,000 IBKR Dec 22 Puts for $0.30 (5.5 times usual volume) with stock at $22.84
A trader bought 1,600 CPB Dec 41 Puts for $0.50 (3.7 times usual volume) with stock at $42.00

Bullish Signals

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A trader bought 3,400 CCJ Dec 20 Calls for $0.40 (2.8 times usual volume) with stock at $19.37
A trader bought 977 KND Feb 15 Calls for $1.00 (3.3 times usual volume) with stock at $15.19
A trader bought 2,000 FNF Jan 2015 30 Calls for $1.90 (2.7 times usual volume) with stock at $27.99
A trader sold 1,000 CG Jun 30 Puts for $2.40 (4.1 times usual volume) with stock at $33.22

Unusual Option Activity

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A trader sold 4,000 PKT Dec 15 Calls for $0.50 (8.2 times usual volume) with stock at $14.96
A trader bought 3,400 CCJ Dec 20 Calls for $0.40 (2.8 times usual volume) with stock at $19.37
A trader bought 977 KND Feb 15 Calls for $1.00 (3.3 times usual volume) with stock at $15.19
A trader bought 6,040 AMLP Jan 17 Puts for $0.25 (4.3 times usual volume) with stock at $17.62
A trader bought 5,000 IBKR Dec 22 Puts for $0.30 (5.5 times usual volume) with stock at $22.84

 

Long Term Trade of the Day: MTW

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The Manitowoc Company, Inc (MTW) is a capital goods manufacturer operating in cranes and food-service equipment. The company’s stock is currently trading around $19.70 in a 52 week range of $12.82-$21.87. The stock has been outperforming the market adding more than 25% to share prices year to date. Recent activity in the options market indicates that traders believe this trend will continue through next year as traders are placing very large bets on MTW. On November 13th a trader bought 15,400 MTW Jan 2015 30 Calls for $0.90. This is a nearly $1.9 million bet on further upside in MTW. The MTW chart is relatively neutral with stock trading inside the Ichimoku Cloud, indicating the stock is not trending. Despite the lackluster technical in MTW we believe the activity in MTW is strong enough to justify a long term set up. We will look to get long MTW with a longer time frame. (more…)

Earnings Trade of the Day: HD

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The Home Depot, Inc (HD) is a home improvement retailer operating warehouse style stores selling assortments of building materials and home improvement goods. The company’s stock is currently trading around $79.90 in a 52 week range of $60.21-$81.56. The stock has been outperforming the market this year rallying over 29% year to date. The company is set to release its most recent quarterly earnings report tomorrow before the market open. Analysts are expecting HD to report earnings of $0.90 per share on revenues of $19.1 billion. Historically, HD is a strong performer on earnings day having rallied 5 of the past 8 quarters with an average moved of 2.5%. HD is trading relatively well on a chart as well with shares trading just off of their 53 week highs and well above the Ichimoku Cloud. We believe that both the historical performance in HD and the strong technical present a great opportunity to get long HD ahead of earnings. With the options market currently implying a move of around $2.75 by this Friday’s expiration we will look to set up a trade with a target around $82.75. (more…)

Iron Condor Trade of the Day: TWTR

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Twitter, Inc. (TWTR) options listed for the first time today and opened for trading with this morning’s opening bell. TWTR stock is trading around $0.80 lower on the day at $43.90. The stock has been trading in a range of $39.40-$50.09 since its IPO. It appears that TWTR implied volatility is trading at a premium to other names in the space like FB and LNKD. This could provide us with an opportunity to sell what look like relatively expensive options in TWTR. Picking strikes to sell and which strategy to use can be tricky as there is only 7 trading days’ worth of price action and data. This means that technical indicators are not going to be much use to us. Looking at TWTR options for next week’s expiration we can see that the at the money straddle is trading around $2.90. Using this straddle price we can calculate implied closes for TWTR and use them to set up a trade. This method works best here because of the lack of technical data.  With the options market implying TWTR stock to close at either $46.90 or $41.10 on next Friday’s expiration we will now set up a trade based on those targets.  (more…)