Biggest Bearish Activity 3.20.2013

Bear CNBC Day TradingPaper bought 500 RES June 17.3 Puts for $2.30 (8.8 times usual volume) when stock was trading $15.81
Paper bought 9665 HUM April 65 Puts for $1 (3.3 times usual volume) when stock was trading $70.44
Paper bought 1500 AMJ April 43 Puts for $.70 (3.2 times usual volume) when stock was trading $43.65
Paper bought 770 CNQ May 65 Puts for $2 (7.8 times usual volume) when stock was trading $69.26
Paper bought 4000 GGB June 7 Puts for $.30 when stock was trading $7.52

Biggest Bullish Activity 3.20.2013

Bull Calls Puts SpreadsPaper bought 1000 MPO May 7.5 Calls for $1.40 (3.5 times usual volume) when stock was trading $8.54
Paper bought 1000 SOXL April 36 Calls for $32.5 (12.2 times usual volume) when stock was trading $37.57
Paper bought 4890 TRI May 35 Calls for $.35 (53.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $32.31
Paper bought 1650 IR June 60 Calls for $1 (6.2 times usual volume) when stock was trading $56.47
Paper bought 2000 RFMD May 5 Calls for $.40 (3.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $4.96

Unusual Options Activity Report 3.20.2013

Charts Earnings Vix FuturesPaper bought 8760 DAL Sep 17 Calls for $1.87 (2.3 times usual volume) when stock was trading $17.03
Paper bought 19,361 S Aug 5 Calls for $.15 (5.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $6.05
Paper bought 9925 GM Jan 2014 30 Calls for $2.74 when stock was trading $29.23
Paper sold 5000 May 45 Puts for $.975 (3.0 times usual volume) when stock was trading $46.30
Paper sold 1520 SNSS July 5 Puts for $.60 (13.6 times usual volume) when stock was trading $5.50

 

Delta Poised To Takeoff (DAL) 3.20.2013

A big factor working in Delta’s favor is their incredibly strong 5-year growth rate. Delta has grown at 20% in comparison to the industry average of 4%. Historically, they have had much higher profit margins and a slightly higher gross margin compared to the overall industry. Their ability to consistently show these types of ratios shows their sustainability down the road. 

Mutual and hedge fund holdings of a company can be strongly indicative of future growth.  As of March, 54% of hedge funds own DAL, up 24% from the previous quarter. Lastly, DAL’s P/E ratio is approximately the mean for the airline industry indicating that it is still growing but also not yet overpriced. When comparing

Delta’s stock price to other airlines with a similar P/E, Delta’s stock price relatively cheap and allows for future growth.

 

The Trade: I bought the DAL Sep 20 Calls for $.76
Risk: $76 per 1 lot
Reward: Unlimited
Breakeven: $20.76

 

Greeks of this Trade:
Delta: Long
Gamma: Long
Vega: Long
Theta: Short

 


Andrew Keene
President/Founder
Andrew@KeeneOnTheMarket.com

 

FDX Falls: Is the Market Next? (FDX, SPY) 3.20.2013

The analyst community has been overwhelmingly bullish on FDX. There are currently no sell ratings, 10 holds, and 18 buys. The average price target is $114.

The options with 30 days till expiration are implying a 5% move up or down by their expiration, at 68% confidence level.

salerno.mark.a@gmail.com

mark 3.20 mark 3.20a