What Would A Stock Split Mean for Apple (AAPL)? 2.27.2013

Well, a stock split is very straightforward. All it means, in this case, is the price will be chopped in half to $224 and the shares outstanding will double. This doesn’t affect the market cap of Apple, or the value of your current shares. The whole point of doing this would be to allow more investors/traders to pick shares of Apple. The concept of stock splits is no revolutionary idea, they are just a way to create some buzz and allow more people to get their hands on the stock. But hey, when the stock is down 36% in 5 months, splitting the stock might not be that bad of an idea! Can I hear a 3-1 or 4-1 split?

Apples pile of cash is no secret to anyone, as it continues to grow as you read this. But what could they possibly do with $135 billion that could satisfy investors? Increase the yield? Sure, if you own 10 million shares and are seeing these payouts extremely beneficial to your pockets. But for the average investor/trader that is not the case. What would be beneficial is to actually do something with that money, such as innovate and buy up companies that bring value. I truly miss the days where Apple would come out with a breath taking product twice a year. Of course Steve Jobs is gone, but is the vision?! I don’t think so, but its clear an ‘X’ factor is missing.

The meeting tomorrow will hopefully clear the air for everyone, and I do expect Apple to announce a stock split. But, what truly matters here is if Tim Cook is focused on quieting the whining from investors, or, focused on getting that Apple mojo back during the Job days.

Author: Peter Nitso
pnitso@yahoo.com
Twitter: @PeterNitso

Biggest Bullish Activity 2.26.2013

Bull Market Stocks BondsPaper bought 4050 LVLT June 27 Calls for $.25 (2.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $20.12
Paper bought 500 MT Jan 2014 12 Calls for $.20 (3.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $5.46
Paper bought 2911 LIFE March 65 Calls for $.35 (2.6 times usual volume) when stock was trading $57
Paper bought 477 EPI March 18 Calls for $.75 when stock was trading $18.68
Paper bought 8201 MET April 37 Calls for $.56 (2.9 times usual volume) when stock was trading $34.41

Biggest Bearish Activity 2.26.2013

Bear CNBC Day TradingPaper bought 1896 DPM March 40 Puts for $.40 (6.0 times usual volume) when stock was trading $42.76
Paper bought 300 VSI April 55 Puts for $5 (49.1 times usual volume) when stock was trading $51.18
Paper bought 1000 RY July 55 Puts for $.72 (2.7 times usual volume) when stock was trading $61.63
Paper bought 1710 BMRN March 55 Puts for $1.45 (3.6 times usual volume) when stock was trading $55.50
Paper bought 770 WCRX April 13 Puts for $.75 when stock was trading $13.37

Unusual Options Activity Report 2.26.2013

rok-tabs-kotmPaper bought 9855 VXX April 20 Puts for $.59 when stock was trading $24.76
Paper bought 1388 TOT March 50 Calls for $.55 when stock was trading $49.15
Paper bought 8000 CHK March Weekly 19.5 Calls for $.35 when stock was trading $19.35
Paper bought 3000 EGO March 10 Calls for $.60 when stock was trading $10.31
Paper sold 10,000 RDN Jan 2015 5 Puts for $1.075 (4.2 times usual volume) when stock was trading $8.15

Andrew Keene's Trade of the Day 2.26.2013

My Trade:  Buying the CHK Weekly 19.5 Calls for $.35

Risk: $35 per 1 lot
Reward: Unlimited
Breakeven: $19.85
Goals:  Offering 1/2 of the Position off at $.60 and will leave the balance until expiration

Greeks of my Trade:
Delta: Long
Gamma: Long
Theta: Short
Vega: Long

The Beta Trade: Stocks Large Betas (β >SPY’s β) 2.26.2013

KOTM did a simple scan for the largest beta in popular indices. These indices include the DJIA, S&P 500, and the Russell 2000. In the Russell 2000, the largest beta belongs to AUMN.  In the S&P 500, the same crown belongs to AIG and finally in the DJIA, BAC wins. These are three very interesting names that deserve a closer look.

AUMN is Golden Minerals Company. The firm is a precious metals producer, primarily engaged in the operation and further development of its acquired Velardena gold, silver and base metals mines in the State of Durango, Mexico and other geographic areas, but the stock is under $3.00. With that in mind, most folks don’t follow cheap (nominally) stocks, but it has a 9.8 beta.

The other two stocks are BAC (with a 2.4 Beta) and AIG (with a 3.5), both of which are a little more well known than AUMN. The financial firms are increasingly gaining interest from investors as interest rates are expected to increase. Both of these stocks are involved in the financial services industry to a certain extent and, interestingly enough, these stocks are also some of the most popular hedge fund picks too.

From a technical prospective, the BAC and AIG charts are presented below. The financials have been in rage mode of late, but over the last week decided to come into their respective 50 DMA’s, maybe a solid trade point.  The moving averages, for both stocks, are pointing up and looking bullish, but these are risky picks…as measured by beta.

 

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