The Israel and Iran geopolitical tension remains a tell tail of where this spread is headed in the short-mid term. Sources say that diplomatic solutions to the tensions are still on the table, and as long as they do the spread will remain in control. I would long the spread in anticipation of a nonviolent solution to the problem. As you can see from the chart below, the spread is much wider than the historical average.
Today’s U.S. crude reserves number should cause a short-term price spike in WTI crude. Right now analysts are expecting high reserves due to lack of demand and increases in supply and crude imports.
David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.
