CRM TRADE:
Trade: I bought the CRM March 120-140 Strangle and sold the Feb weekly 120-140 Strangle for $2.69 total.
Profitable: I make money on this trade if CRM closes between $120-$140 and the March volatility does not get crushed too bad.
Break-even: I break-even on this trade if CRM Stangle Swap is worth $2.69.
Unprofitable: This trade is unprofitable if CRM Strangle Swap is worth less than $2.69. This is a very hard trade to explain, but I basically want to the front month Strangle to be worthless and have March volatility not get crushed, so the March strangle is worth more than $2.69.
UPDATE 2.24.2012 I like to think of the earnings trades as one day bets, takes profits or losses then move on. I sold 25% of this Calendar spread for $3.15, 25% at $3.50 and I have half still on. I will take this trade off before the end of the day, but it looks like I will turn $2.69 into $3.50ish, good for 30% profit in one day.
DECK TRADE:
Trade: I sold the DECK March 92.5-95 Call Spread for $1.05.
Profitable: I make money on this trade if DECK closes below $93.55 by March 16, 2012.
Break-even: I break-even on this trade if DECK closes at $93.55 by March 16, 2012.
Unprofitable: This trade is unprofitable if DECK closes above $93.55 by March 16, 2012. The most I can lose on this trade is the amount this spread can be worth $2.50 minus the amount I sold it for $1.05 for a total of $1.45
UPDATE 2.24.2012 With DECK getting slammed, this spread that I sold for $1.05 is now worth $.15. I put a $.05 bid in the “Order Book” to take the trade off and move on to the next one, another HUGE winner.
GPS TRADE:
Trade: I sold the GPS March 24-25 Call Spread and 22-21 Put Spread for $.48 total.
Profitable: I make money on this trade if GPS Closes between $21.52-$24.48 by March 16, 2012.
Break-even: I break-even on this trade if GPS Closes at $21.52 or $24.48 by March 16, 2012.
Unprofitable: This trade is unprofitable if GPS Closes under $21.52 or above $24.48 by March 16, 2012. The most I can lose on this trade is the amount this spread can be worth $1 minus the amount I sold it for $.48 for a total of $.52.
UPDATE 2.24.2012 With GPS selling off and staying above $22, this spread is decreasing in value, because premium and volatility gets crushed after earnings. I put a $.30 bid in the “Order Book” and will be looking to take profits and move to the next trade.