Chris Cruises the Globe 7.24.2012

The slump was led by CNOOC, the Chinese oil giant, after announcing plans to acquire Canadian oil producer NexenInc for 15.1B. The announcement was received with a 4% loss as investors think the company is overpaying.In the same sector China Petroleum & chemical corp fell .6% after agreeing to buy a 49% stake in Talisman Energy for 1.5B, another Canadian company.

Europe is again down on Spanish Banking concerns as the FTSEurofirst falls .2%. Financial shares were top decliners with the insurance sector down 1.2% and banking down 1%. Moody’s changed its outlook for Germany, the Netherlands and Luxembourg to “negative” from “stable” on pure speculation of Greece leaving the Eurozone. The Eurozone PMI fell to 44.1 from 45.1 in June touching a 37 month low and unemployment fell for a seventh consecutive month and at the fastest rate in 2.5 years.

Commodities look bleak to begin the session with crude, natural gas, gold and silver all starting in the red.

Contributer Chris Rygh is currently pursuing his MBA in Wisconsin and has a passion for the Market. Comments can be directed to ryghcw19@uww.edu

Movers and Shakers – SRPT – 7.24.2012

This morning Sarepta announced that they posted statistically significant results after a 36-week study on their medication Eteplirsen, a treatment for DMD. Patients were issued doses of Eteplirsen once weekly during the study that ended with a successful 6-minute walk test relative to patients who received placebos. The study was performed at the Nationwide Children’s Hospital in Columbus, Ohio.

David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

Morning Rage 7.24.2012

As for the state of the economy there are quite a few announcements today:
• ICSC Goldman Store Sales at 7:45am
• Ben Bernanke Speaks at 8:45am
• Redbook at 8:55am
• PMI Manufacturing Index Flash at 8:58am
• FHFA House Price Index at 10:00am
• Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index at 10:00am

In the stock market today the S&P 500 opens on the decline once again at 0.89%
while 10-year treasuries bounce back at 1.40%. Oil is down 0.17% and the dollar is
up again at 0.24%.

What earnings should you watch for today? Apple. The company announces their
earnings after the close and is expected to report earnings of $10.35. Some analysts
believe that Apple could actually break the $11 mark as well.

Make sure to check out our webinar next Monday, 30th and follow us on Twitter
@keeneonmarket.com!

Trade of the Day (TXN) 7.23.2012

Unprofitable:  I lose money on this trade if TXN closes under $25.22 or above $26.78 or July 27, 2012.  The most I can lose on this trade is the amount I bought the Spread for $.22.

Risk: $22 per 1 lot

Reward: $78 per 1 lot

Chart: Bearish overall , but looking for a good risk vs reward that it tests back lower and the measured move target of $25.73

Read more about futures by www.keeneonthemarket.com

Doherty at the Close 7.23.2012

Heading the decline are the six Spanish regions expected to request central government aid according to Spains El Pais newspaper. Leading the decline, McDonald’s (MCD) fell -2.85% after the fast food company reported a larger than expected drop in second quarter profits and warned of slowing same store sales growth.
European stocks also plunged, with the Stoxx Europe 600 sliding 2.5%. Spain’s IBEX 35 index fell 1.1%, trimming losses after the country’s financial regulator imposed a short-sale ban. Spanish borrowing costs rose to a euro-era high, with the country’s 10-year bond recently yielding 7.44%. The euro fell as far as $1.2067, a new two-year low against the dollar.

The CBOE VIX index, jumped 15%, the largest one day climb this summer.
In the corporate news, Haliburton rose 2.14% after the oil-services company reported better-than-expected second-quarter results. Wet Seal (WTSLA) slid after firing its chief executive and saying it expects to report a deeper-than-expected second-quarter loss than previously forecast.

Halftime Report 7.23.2012

S&P 500 futures fell 20.50 points to 1337.75, NASDAQ futures fell 53.00 points to 2560.25, and Dow Jones Industrial Average futures fell 163.00 points to 12610.00.

Soybean futures gave back over 35 cents of last week’s parabolic gains and easing drought fears.

WTI crude futures dipped below the $90.00 level and were trading at 89.00, down $2.83 on the day. Gold futures followed other futures with a decline of $7.90 to trade at $1574.90.

Hasbro Inc. (HAS) was yet another stock that posted weak earnings, yet managed to rise due to beating estimates. HAS rose over 4%.

Peet’s Coffee & Tea Inc. (PEET), a Seattle favorite and alternative to Starbucks, rose over 29% after John A. Benckiser agreed to buy the company for $1 billion or $73.50 a share.

McDonald’s Corp. (MCD) fell over 2.5% after reporting a drop in profit. MCD blames the strong USD for the drop in profit.

PetMed Express Inc. (PETS) fell almost 13% after announcing weak profit and revenue.

Sprint Nextel (S) lost over 4.5% this morning as signs of the telecommunications industry weakening became more evident.

Halliburton Co. dipped around 2% this morning and then rose to a positive 1.56% after releasing positive earnings. They had a profit of $737 million and 79 cents a share, up from $627 million last year with 68 cents a share. Revenue gained to $7.23 billion from $5.94 billion a year ago.

Apple (AAPL) declined 1.22% in preparation for tomorrow’s earnings release scheduled for after the close.

David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

Movers and Shakers – NXY – 7.23.2012

CNOOC agreed to buy NXY for $27.50 a share or 61% higher than Friday’s close. NXY reported Q2 earnings of 19 cents, missing analysts’ expectations of 39 cents a share. Last year at this time NXY reported earnings of 46 cents a share and blames the earnings decrease on oil and gas prices. Q2 revenue jumped gained 11.5% to 1,769.3 million from 1654.7 million last year. the buyout is estimated to be finished in the fourth quarter.

Nexen holds a diversified portfolio consisting of both production and exploration units. Their exploration branch primarily functions in the Gulf of Mexico, West Africa and the North Sea.

David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.