Doherty at the Close 7.20.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

Chipotle (CMG) slumped 22%, the biggest drop on the S&P 500, after the restaurant operator’s quarterly revenue came in shy of expectations and customer traffic slowed.

In Europe, markets were broadly lower on concerns that Spain could be forced into a full-fledged sovereign bailout to ease the country’s debt burdens. The Valencia region of Spain said it plans to seek aid from the Spanish government, and a downward revision to Spanish growth expectations further compounded investor worries. The Stoxx Europe 600 fell 1.4%, while Spain’s IBEX-35 index tumbled 5.8%. The yield on benchmark 10-year Spanish bonds rose back above 7%.

Crude-oil futures fell 1.3% to settle at $91.44 a barrel, while gold futures added 0.2% to settle at $1582.50 a troy ounce. The U.S. dollar rose against the euro but lost ground against the yen. The yield on the 10-year U.S. Treasury bond fell to 1.459%.

Halftime Report 7.20.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

In my opinion today may be a great day to pick a top in equity indices after an irrational rally this past week. I would hold a position for a mid-term fall in the EUR/USD and S&P 500 index futures.

WTI crude futures erased some of yesterday’s gains by falling $1.45 to $91.21 after easing geopolitical concerns. Gold continues on its annual rise by gaining $4.10 to $1584.50.

Soybean futures continued to go parabolic by rising another 25.40 cents this morning on drought concerns.

Archer Daniels Midland Co. (ADM) lost .99% after seeing higher costs associated with grains prices.

Kayak (KYAK) rose over $5 this morning after its IPO price of $26.

SanDisk Corp (SNDK) gained over 13% after reporting weak earnings, but growing demand for the second half of the year.


David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

Movers and Shakers – CMG – 7.20.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

Last night Chipotle reported quarterly earnings of $2.56 a share and revenues of $690.93 million. Analysts expected an EPS of 2.3 and revenues of $707.09 million. CMG reported a 61% rise in profit last quarter after stronger margins, developmental growth and increased sales. Although they posted growth, CMG said that they did not see as many customers in April as customers may be downgrading to lower quality and more affordable fast food restaurants due to our weak economy. Their customer base is still growing, just at a slower rate than previous time frames.

David Cornes holds a degree in economics from the University of Montana.

Chris Cruises the Globe 7.20.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

Europe is beginning the day down across the borders with the FTSE showing a .5% loss, however is still up for the week and has added 12% since June 4th. 15% of European companies due to report results have done so with average earnings up 6% above consensus. Vodafone fell 2.4% showing a drop in organic growth the first quarter. Nokia also fell, 4.6%, as a number of banks cut their target price. Scania, a truck maker, rose 4.7% due to a less than expected drop in sales orders. EADS gained 4% after being upgraded to buy by Goldman Sachs. The next wave of bad debt to hit lenders comes in the form of student loans. A report released yesterday showed defaults on private student loans was over 8B last year. They reported this was due to aggressive marketing by lenders over the past 10 years. Woes are weighing in the commodity market with crude, natural gas, and silver down and gold showing a spark of hope up just .06%. Contributer Chris Rygh is currently pursuing his MBA in Wisconsin and has a passion for the Market. Comments can be directed to ryghcw19@uww.edu

Morning Rage 7.20.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

In the news there are no reports or censuses being announced today so we will
move right along to the stock market. The S&P 500 is up 0.27% while 10-year
treasuries are down 2.63%. Oil is taking a hit as well, down 1.74%. The dollar holds
strong at an increase of 0.50%

Today the dispute between Viacom and DirecTv was finally settled. DirecTv
customers will now get 17 channels such as Comedy Central and MTV back.

Make sure to check out our free Webinar this Monday, July 23 and follow us on
Twitter @keeneonmarket!

Doherty at the Close 7.19.2012

[shareaholic app="share_buttons" id="24556347"]

A downbeat round of economic data kept a lid on the market’s gains. The number of Americans filing for jobless benefits jumped to 386,000 last week, the Labor Department reported, more than expected by economists polled by Dow Jones Newswires. The prior week’s reading was revised higher but remained at the lowest level since 2008.

Factory activity in the Mid-Atlantic region contracted, albeit at a slower pace, for a third straight month in July, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia’s index of manufacturing activity. The Conference Board’s leading economic index fell further than forecast.

European markets were broadly higher, with the Stoxx Europe 600 rising 1.1% as strong earnings and Germany’s expected approval of the aid plan for Spanish banks buoyed sentiment. Asian markets rallied on the back of strength in the U.S. and in resource stocks, which were boosted by continued gains in oil prices. China’s Shanghai Composite rose 0.7%, Australia’s S&P ASX 200 ran up 2%, and Japan’s Nikkei Stock Average advanced 0.8%.

Crude-oil futures rose 3.1% to settle at $92.66. Gold futures gained 0.6% to finish at $1580.10. The dollar ticked higher against the euro but fell versus the yen.