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S&P Emini Daily Vid Recap 4.19.2012
S&P Emini Daily Vid Recap 4.18.2012
Earnings Trade of the Day 4.18.2012
FFIV:
Trade: Selling the FFIV April 120-115 Put Spread for $1.56. I sold the April 120 Puts for $3.50 and bought the April 115 Puts for $1.94.
Profitable: I make money on this trade if FFIV closes above $118.44 by April 20, 2012.
Break-even: I breakeven on this trade if FFIV closes at $118.44 by April 20, 2012.
Unprofitable: I lose money on this trade if FFIV closes under $118.44 by April 20, 2012. The most I can lose on this trade is the Price of the Spread can be worth $5 minus the Price I sold it for $1.56 for a total of $3.44.
UPDATE 4.23.2012 I had this position on and bought back my short Put Spread on Thrusday for $.04. Another big winner at KOTM.
MS:
Trade: Buying the MS APRIL 18-19 Call Spread and Selling the 17-16 Put Spread for $.15 total
Profitable: I make money on this trade if MS closes above $18.15 by April 20, 2012.
Break-Even: I breakeven on this trade if MS closes at $18.15 by April 20, 2012.
Unprofitable: I lose money on this trade if MS closes under $18.15 by April 20, 2012. The most I can lose on this trade is the Price of the Spread can be worth $1 plus the Price I bought it for $.15 for a total of $1.15.
UPDATE 4.23.2012 As MS rallied over the $18 level, I took this Spread off for $.32 for a nice double and moving to the next trade.
EBAY:
Trade: Selling the EBAY April 37-38 Call Spread and April 35-34 Put Spread for $.44 total.
Profitable: I make money on this trade if EBAY closes between $34.56-$37.44 by April 20, 2012.
Break-even: I break-even on this trade if EBAY closes at $34.56 or $37.44 by April 20, 2012.
Unprofitable: I lose money on this trade if EBAY closes under $34.56 or above $37.44 by April 20, 2012. The most I can lose is the Price the spread can be worth $1 minus the price I sold it for $.44 for a total of $.56
UPDATE 4.23.2012 I was offering this Spread in the book, but never got filled. The Spread would have achieved full value or $1
Read more about above by www.keeneonthemarket.com
Halftime Report for 4.18.2012
Following news overnight that Warren Buffet was diagnosed with an early form of cancer, Berkshire (BRK.A) shares are down 1.3% – not something that is indicative of any concern among investors. IBM is down 2.9% after reporting earnings last night, while Intel (INTC) has lost 1.7%. Haliburton (HAL) gained 4.4% following its earnings report.
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) shareholders are benefiting from rumors on additional Macao properties, up 5% at $131.00.
Morning Rage 4.18.2012
This morning, in earnings news, Abbott Labs (ABT) reported EPS of $1.03, 3 cents above expectations; BlackRock (BLK) reported EPS of $3.16 versus $3.02 expectations; PNC reported EPS that is 1 cent higher than expectations; and Southwest Bancorp beat the street with a $0.21 EPS versus expectations of a $0.01 quarterly loss.
Crude Oil futures are lower by 0.5% this morning, while Natural Gas futures are marginally higher. At 10:30 a.m. ET this morning, the Department of Energy will release the weekly report on Crude inventories. Gold is also lower by 0.5%, down $8.80 to $1,642.30.
In currency markets, EUR/USD is under pressure, trading down 60 pips to 1.3065. A close below the Ichimoku Cloud at 1.3055 could inspire further losses in sessions ahead. The US$ is also higher against JPY, which spiked to 81.57 before trading at 81.35 currently.
Upgrades and Downgrades for 4.18.2012
– Capital One (COF) price target to $71 from $60: Stifel Nicolaus
– Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF) price target to $17 from $19: Stifel Nicolaus
S&P Emini Daily Vid Recap 4.17.2012
S&P 500 Pivot Points for 4.18.2012
Meadows on the Markets 4.17.2012
After the bell, we will see earnings reports from IBM, Intel (INTC), CSX, and Yahoo! (YHOO). Following them tomorrow morning are Abbott Labs (ABT), Bank of NY (BK), BlackRock (BLK), Haliburton (HAL), and PNC.
Crude Oil futures gained sharply ahead of inventory numbers tomorrow afternon. The price of a barrel rose 1.3% to $104.25. Natural Gas futures, which will see its own inventory numbers on Thursday, fell to its lowest level at $1.9530. Traders continue to point to a $1.55 level as a break-even point for producers, saying that until you see serious production cuts, prices could continue to tumble.
The US$ fell marginally in Tuesday trade, despite the renewed risk appetite. JPY saw the brunt of the losses, falling 0.5% against the dollar. The 30-year bond fell 0.3%, while the 10-year note dropped 0.2%.